Is 93309 a buyer’s market or a seller’s market? Seller’s, 2.7 months

By Ryan Dobbs, Broker, Ryan Dobbs Realty

Already have a rough idea of your price range? Skip down to see whether these numbers fit your home, or plug in your address for a closer look.

What these numbers mean if you are selling is on the Bakersfield, California market report, and every Bakersfield ZIP code is compared on the Bakersfield ZIP code scoreboard.

Last updated October 28, 2026. Data: Golden Empire MLS, 90 days ending October 28, 2026.

How does 93309 compare to Bakersfield overall?

In the 90 days ending October 28, 2026, 118 homes closed in 93309, about 9% fewer than in the same period a year earlier. Bakersfield overall recorded closings in that same span at a median sale price of $412,000, well above 93309’s median (see Table 1). Buyers in 93309 are working in a meaningfully more affordable range, which brings a different pool of financing types and appraisal dynamics than the city-wide figure reflects.

Sellers here are also operating in a tighter supply environment than the city average. Bakersfield’s overall supply sits at 3.2 months; 93309 comes in below that (see Table 1). Our read is that the gap matters: a ZIP that is already more affordable and also has less inventory gives resale sellers a position that the headline city numbers understate.

One factor the supply figure alone does not capture is builder competition. No new-build closings occurred in 93309 during this period, unlike 93313 and 93311, where builder activity is significant. Resale sellers in 93309 are not competing with new construction, which means buyers here cannot substitute a builder incentive package for a resale negotiation. Across Bakersfield, sellers received 99.1% of original asking price over this period, and 93309’s ratio sits close to that mark (see Table 1).

Table 1. 93309 (Bakersfield records only) compared with Bakersfield. Sales are from the 90 days ending October 28, 2026; homes for sale are as of October 28, 2026. “Failed to sell” means the listing expired or was withdrawn without selling. Source: Golden Empire MLS.

How does 93309 compare to nearby ZIP codes?

Among Bakersfield’s ZIP codes, 93309 carries zero active new-build listings, while 93311 and 93313 each carry listings in the double digits. Resale sellers in 93309 are not competing with builders, which means a buyer here cannot trade a resale negotiation for a builder incentive package. That absence tends to support asking-price retention in ways the supply figure alone does not show.

The failed-to-sell rate in 93309 is an upper bound, because some of those expired, withdrawn, or cancelled listings may have relisted and are still active. Active and pending counts are in the table below.

Table 2. Bakersfield by ZIP code, counting only Bakersfield homes in each ZIP, 90 days ending October 28, 2026. Your price range can put you in a different market than the ZIP as a whole. Source: Golden Empire MLS.

How does 93309’s market this year compare to last year?

In the 90 days ending October 28, 2026, fewer homes closed in 93309 than the 131 that closed in the same period a year earlier, when the median sale price was $348,450. Volume pulled back, but conditions for sellers who did close improved.

The more meaningful shift is in asking-price retention. Sellers received 1.3 percentage points more of their original asking price this period than last year, meaning sellers are conceding less than they were at this time in 2025. Both figures are in the table below.

Table 3. 93309 sales in each period. Each row stands on its own. Source: Golden Empire MLS.

Does your price range change how competitive 93309 is?

The table below shows the full breakdown; this section walks through the ranges where the data is firm enough to read.

The $200,000 to $249,999 range produced 11 closings over the period, with 2.5 months of supply, a seller’s market. The $250,000 to $299,999 range added closings at 2.4 months of supply, tighter still. Both ranges are active entry-level markets with limited inventory relative to buyer demand.

The $300,000 to $349,999 range is where volume peaks in this ZIP: 31 closings and only 2.3 months of supply. Sellers in that range received the strongest ratio of any range in 93309, as shown in the table below.

The $350,000 to $399,999 range recorded 24 closings at 3.1 months of supply, still a seller’s market. The $400,000 to $449,999 range had closings at 1.7 months of supply, the tightest supply figure in the ZIP, yet buyers there are negotiating off original asking price, which matters at that price point; the table shows what that means in percentage terms.

The $450,000 to $499,999 range had 8 closings and 3.8 months of supply, approaching balanced territory. Ranges above $500,000 had too few closings to carry a reliable market read on the 90-day basis; the table below shows 12-month figures for those ranges where available.

Table 4. 93309 homes by price range. Ranges are by original asking price. Sales are from the 90 days ending October 28, 2026; homes for sale are as of October 28, 2026. A range is a seller’s market when homes sell for at least 97% of their original asking price, balanced from 94% to 97%, and a buyer’s market below 94%. Ranges with no sales or listings in the last 90 days are omitted. A range with fewer than ten sales has its median and market marked as a small sample, with its number of closings; medians are not shown under five. Source: Golden Empire MLS.

Do these numbers describe your home?

The 12-month trailing period reinforces that the seller’s-market pattern is persistent rather than a single-quarter result. Steady is not the same as uniform. If that is you, the fastest way to know is to run your address.

A seller in Kern City, Quailwood, Park Stockdale, Amberton, or Stockdale Estates should treat the price-range rows in the table above as the real input, not the ZIP-wide median. Neighborhood, square footage, and condition are what separate the homes that closed from the ones that failed to sell, and those factors do not appear in any ZIP-level figure. Before pricing, have your agent run comps within the same neighborhood and the same square footage range; the ZIP median is a starting point, not a answer.

Your situation

Location within the ZIP, condition, and how a home is priced against actual closed comps in Kern City, Quailwood, or Park Stockdale matter more than the ZIP-wide picture. Bakersfield, CA real estate market report: 31 days on market

What does the supply number actually tell a 93309 seller?

If I could check just a single number, it’s months of supply: if nothing new came on the market, how long would it take to sell everything listed at today’s pace? It tells you who has the leverage. But it describes the average listing, and a well-priced, well-marketed home doesn’t have to sell at the average pace.

In the 90 days ending October 28, 2026, sellers who did close received 98.8% of their original asking price, yet more than four in ten listings failed to sell at all: pricing and preparation are the dividing line, not ZIP-wide demand.

About Ryan Dobbs Realty in Bakersfield

Ryan Dobbs Realty is a brokerage that helps homeowners sell their homes. The figures on this page come from Golden Empire MLS data for 90 days ending October 28, 2026; each number’s query ID is in the page source.

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